ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021
0900 UTC MON SEP 13 2021
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 5( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13)
FORT POLK LA 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
LAKE CHARLES 34 1 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
CAMERON LA 34 3 6( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
JASPER TX 34 1 6( 7) 7(14) 7(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23)
KOUNTZE TX 34 1 11(12) 9(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 1 10(11) 5(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
GALVESTON TX 34 11 23(34) 3(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
GALVESTON TX 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 2 39(41) 12(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
HOUSTON TX 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUSTIN TX 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FREEPORT TX 34 6 53(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
FREEPORT TX 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 51 7(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 2 17(19) 5(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
MATAGORDA TX 34 51 32(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
MATAGORDA TX 50 1 20(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
MATAGORDA TX 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PORT O CONNOR 34 66 23(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
PORT O CONNOR 50 5 40(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
PORT O CONNOR 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ROCKPORT TX 34 46 17(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
ROCKPORT TX 50 4 16(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
ROCKPORT TX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 18 13(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 1 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 20 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
GFMX 270N 960W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MCALLEN TX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HARLINGEN TX 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: