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HURRICANE NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142021
0300 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021

CORRECTED FOR TROPICAL STORM WARNING SUMMARY

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS...IS
DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF PORT
ARANSAS...TEXAS...IS DISCONTINUED.

THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM PORT O'CONNOR NORTH TO FREEPORT, TEXAS HAS 
BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO SABINE PASS
* GALVESTON BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...AND MATAGORDA BAY

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT O'CONNOR TO FREEPORT TEXAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR
* NORTH OF FREEPORT TO SABINE PASS
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABINE PASS TO RUTHERFORD BEACH LOUISIANA
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF
AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF NICHOLAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  95.8W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  95.8W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  96.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.6N  95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.2N  94.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 100SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 30.3N  93.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 30.3N  93.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.3N  93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.5N  92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  95.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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