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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
2100 UTC TUE SEP 07 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  56.3W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 120SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  56.3W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  55.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.5N  57.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.3N  58.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.3N  61.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.8N  61.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 41.7N  58.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 180SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 53.0N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 60.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  56.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 08/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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