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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
1500 UTC TUE SEP 07 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  55.6W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 270SE 240SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  55.6W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  55.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.6N  56.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.3N  58.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.3N  59.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 31.8N  61.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 34.9N  61.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 39.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 160SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 50.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 58.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N  55.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 07/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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