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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
1500 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  49.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 150SE  70SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  49.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  49.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.5N  51.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.9N  52.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.3N  55.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.7N  56.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.3N  58.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 31.1N  61.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 37.4N  60.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  49.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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