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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0300 UTC SUN SEP 05 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  48.0W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE  70SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  48.0W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  47.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.1N  49.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.5N  51.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.7N  53.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.0N  54.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.2N  56.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.8N  57.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 29.4N  60.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 35.1N  61.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  48.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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