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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
1500 UTC SAT SEP 04 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  45.8W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  70SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  45.8W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  45.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.7N  47.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.1N  49.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.3N  51.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  55NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N  53.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.6N  54.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.8N  56.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 27.0N  59.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 31.6N  62.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  45.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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