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HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0900 UTC THU SEP 02 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  32.3W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  32.3W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  31.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.4N  34.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.0N  37.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.8N  40.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.8N  43.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.9N  46.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.3N  48.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 20.9N  52.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.8N  55.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  32.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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