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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
2100 UTC TUE AUG 31 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  21.1W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   0 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  21.1W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  20.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.6N  23.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.0N  27.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.1N  30.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 12.5N  33.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.3N  36.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.3N  39.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  90SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 16.5N  43.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  21.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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