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HURRICANE IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021
1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130
KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WHITING FLD FL 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PENSACOLA FL 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MOBILE AL 34 16 5(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
GULFPORT MS 34 92 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
GULFPORT MS 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GULFPORT MS 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
STENNIS MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
STENNIS MS 50 43 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
STENNIS MS 64 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BURAS LA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BURAS LA 64 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSON MS 34 12 51(63) 8(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
JACKSON MS 50 1 9(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
JACKSON MS 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 85 2(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 18 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 79 11(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
BATON ROUGE LA 64 38 22(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 82 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 35 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 19 26(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
ALEXANDRIA LA 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 83 3(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 15 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
LAFAYETTE LA 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 88 2(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 22 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
NEW IBERIA LA 64 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FORT POLK LA 34 4 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
LAKE CHARLES 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CAMERON LA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
JASPER TX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KOUNTZE TX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GALVESTON TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 31-Dec-2021 12:09:23 UTC