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HURRICANE IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092021
0300 UTC MON AUG 30 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
* LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND MOBILE BAY
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO WEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 
INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE 
INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... 
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. 
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS 
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER 
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  90.7W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 120SE  80SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 240SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  90.7W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  90.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.5N  90.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  70 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 33.0N  90.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 34.6N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 36.1N  85.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 37.5N  82.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.9N  78.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 40.0N  72.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 40.7N  67.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N  90.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 30/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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