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TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092021
1500 UTC FRI AUG 27 2021

CORRECTED TO ADD 64-KT WIND RADII AT THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POINT
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS REPLACE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WITH
A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH...AND THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF PINAR DEL RIO AND ARTEMISA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND ARTEMISA...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABINE PASS TO ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
* VERMILION BAY...LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE
MAUREPAS...AND MOBILE BAY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMERON...LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...AND HAVANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG
THE NORTHERN U.S. GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.  HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY.  INTERESTS IN THE DRY TORTUGAS
SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  82.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  30SW  15NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  82.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  81.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.2N  83.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.0N  85.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.9N  87.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.6N  89.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.0N  90.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.3N  91.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 33.3N  90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 35.2N  87.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  82.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 27/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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