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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082021
0300 UTC MON AUG 16 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR 
BERMUDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  62.7W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 175 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  62.7W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  62.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.4N  62.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.5N  63.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.0N  64.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.0N  66.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.2N  67.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 32.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 33.5N  68.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N  62.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 16/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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