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Tropical Storm GRACE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072021               
0300 UTC WED AUG 18 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
MCALLEN TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
HARLINGEN TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)
 
LA PESCA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   2(16)
LA PESCA MX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  20(32)   1(33)
TAMPICO MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   X(10)
TAMPICO MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)  23(41)   1(42)
TUXPAN MX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   1(15)
TUXPAN MX      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   9(31)   X(31)
VERACRUZ MX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)
VERACRUZ MX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MERIDA MX      34  X   1( 1)  34(35)  31(66)   3(69)   X(69)   X(69)
MERIDA MX      50  X   X( X)   7( 7)  23(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)
MERIDA MX      64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
COZUMEL MX     34  X  22(22)  66(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
COZUMEL MX     50  X   3( 3)  59(62)   2(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
COZUMEL MX     64  X   X( X)  31(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
BELIZE CITY    34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GUANAJA        34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  2  27(29)  11(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HAVANA         34  3   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  6  22(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34 93   4(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
GRAND CAYMAN   50 61  16(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
GRAND CAYMAN   64  6   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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