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Tropical Depression GRACE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072021               
1500 UTC MON AUG 16 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
 
MCALLEN TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
 
HARLINGEN TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  13(24)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
LA PESCA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)
LA PESCA MX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
LA PESCA MX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)
TAMPICO MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
TAMPICO MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
TUXPAN MX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)   X(14)
MERIDA MX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   1(23)   X(23)
COZUMEL MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
COZUMEL MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  31(34)   1(35)   X(35)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
CP SAN ANTONIO 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  11(29)   X(29)   X(29)
ISLE OF PINES  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)
GRAND CAYMAN   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   2( 2)  14(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LES CAYES      34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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