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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021
0900 UTC MON AUG 16 2021
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 1(21) X(21)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) X(19) X(19)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LES CAYES 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CAPE BEATA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
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