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TROPICAL STORM GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021
0300 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16)
KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 4(29) X(29) X(29)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 18(18) 8(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PONCE PR 34 X 30(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
PONCE PR 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X 39(39) 10(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
AGUADILLA PR 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X 32(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
SAN JUAN PR 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
VIEQUES PR 34 6 44(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
VIEQUES PR 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 34 8 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
SAINT CROIX 34 52 12(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
SAINT CROIX 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABA 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 52 X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 65 X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
ANTIGUA 34 64 X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN
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