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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021
1500 UTC FRI AUG 13 2021
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12)
PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 1(20) X(20)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12)
VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 1(23) X(23)
VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) X(23) X(23)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) X(24) X(24)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 6(26) X(26) X(26)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27)
SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 5(28) X(28) X(28)
ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
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