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TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072021
1500 UTC THU AUG 19 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA HERRERO AND THE HURRICANE
WARNING FROM PUNTA HERRERO TO TULUM. THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM
TULUM TO CANCUN HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM
PUERTO VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO...AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO BARRA DEL TORDO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM PUERTO VERACRUZ TO CABO ROJO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CAMPECHE
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO BARRA DEL
TORDO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  88.8W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  88.8W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  88.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.6N  91.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.6N  94.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.4N  96.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.0N  98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.6N 101.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  88.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 19/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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