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TROPICAL STORM FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021
1500 UTC MON AUG 16 2021
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ATLANTA GA 34 4 6(10) 8(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
AUGUSTA GA 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAVANNAH GA 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KINGS BAY GA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WAYCROSS GA 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
JACKSONVILLE 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
THE VILLAGES 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ORLANDO FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 80 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 16 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
ST MARKS FL 34 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
ST MARKS FL 50 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
APALACHICOLA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
APALACHICOLA 50 66 X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
APALACHICOLA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 64 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 49 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
COLUMBUS GA 34 19 24(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
WHITING FLD FL 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
PENSACOLA FL 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOBILE AL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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