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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021
0300 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14)
KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 10(10) 8(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PONCE PR 34 X 12(12) 20(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
PONCE PR 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X 11(11) 38(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X 10(10) 13(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
VIEQUES PR 34 X 39(39) 5(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
VIEQUES PR 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X 25(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
SAINT CROIX 34 1 44(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
SAINT CROIX 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SABA 34 3 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 5 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 7 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
BARBUDA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AVES 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DOMINICA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
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