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Potential Tropical Cyclone SIX


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062021               
2100 UTC MON AUG 09 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HOMESTEAD ARB  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
KEY WEST FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   6(26)   X(26)   X(26)
PUERTO PLATA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)
SANTO DOMINGO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)  22(22)   3(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
AGUADILLA PR   34  X   1( 1)  36(37)   7(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
AGUADILLA PR   50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)  14(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
VIEQUES PR     34  X   7( 7)  29(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
VIEQUES PR     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   7( 7)  16(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X  22(22)  17(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SABA           34  X  17(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
ST EUSTATIUS   34  1  15(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  1  16(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
BARBUDA        34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ANTIGUA        34  1   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  9  13(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
AVES           34  X  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
DOMINICA       34 14   6(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
MARTINIQUE     34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/PAPIN                                              
      
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