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Tropical Storm Fred Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
200 AM AST Wed Aug 11 2021
...TROPICAL STORM FRED MOVING JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of the Dominican Republic has changed the Tropical
Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for the north coast of the
Dominican Republic from Cabo Frances Viejo to the Dominican
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, including Culebra and Vieques
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Dominican Republic on the south coast from Punta Palenque
eastward and on the north coast from the Dominican
Republic/Haiti border eastward
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* Southeastern Bahamas
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
Interests elsewhere in Haiti and the Bahamas, as well as in eastern
and central Cuba, should monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 67.6 West. Fred is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a general
west-northwestward motion is expected to begin later today and
continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the center
of Fred is expected to be near or over Hispaniola later today, and
move near the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible before the center nears the coast of
the Dominican Republic later this morning. Some weakening is likely
thereafter while the system interacts with Hispaniola.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Tropical Storm Fred can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header
WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at
RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce the following rainfall
Over the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the
Dominican Republic...2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum totals
of 6 inches. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash, urban, and small
stream flooding, along with possible rapid river rises and the
potential for mudslides across the U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
and the Dominican Republic.
Over Haiti, the Turks and Caicos, eastern Bahamas, and eastern
Cuba...1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the
warning areas in the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico during the
next few hours, and in portions of the warning area in the
Dominican Republic later this morning. Tropical storm conditions
are possible along the northern coast of Haiti, the Turks and
Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas beginning late today.
SURF: Swells generated by Tropical Storm Fred are affecting
portions of the Leeward Islands. These swells are expected to
continue across the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and reach
portions of Hispaniola today, where they could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.