ZCZC NFDTCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number  34
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL062021
1100 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021
 
...FRED MOVING UP THE APPALACHIANS AND CUMBERLAND PLATEAU WHILE 
SLOWLY TRANSITIONING INTO A NON-TROPICAL LOW...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.6N 82.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SSW OF CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SW OF HARRISBURG PENNSYLVANIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the southern and 
central Appalachians as well as sections of the adjacent Piedmont.
 
Tornado Watches are posted over the western Carolinas and southwest 
Virginia.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred
was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 82.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 22 mph (35
km/h) and this motion is expected to become northeasterly overnight 
and Wednesday before decelerating and taking on a more easterly 
track on Thursday while moving through southern New England.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some additional weakening is possible over the next couple of days 
as it tracks through the eastern United States.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:
 
Tonight into Wednesday morning...
Southern Appalachians...additional 1 to 3 inches of rain, with
isolated maximum storm totals of 10 inches.
 
Wednesday through Thursday night...
Central Appalachians and interior portions of the Mid-Atlantic
States into the Northeast...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated
maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected.
 
Heavy rainfall across portions of the Southern and Central
Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic States, and Northeast could lead to
flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. An
increased risk of landslides exists across the mountains of North
Carolina as well as portions of the Blue Ridge Escarpment through
tonight.

For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with 
Tropical Storm Fred, see the companion storm summary at 
WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: 
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

 
TORNADOES:
A tornado or two is possible tonight across parts of the western 
Carolinas and southwestern Virginia.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Roth
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  18/0300Z 36.6N  82.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  18/1200Z 38.9N  80.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  19/0000Z 41.4N  77.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  19/1200Z 42.5N  74.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  20/0000Z 42.9N  72.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  20/1200Z 43.1N  70.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 
NNNN