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TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062021
2100 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST EAST
OF STEINHATCHEE RIVER TO YANKEETOWN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COAST OF FLORIDA FROM INDIAN PASS TO YANKEETOWN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM NAVARRE TO THE WAKULLA/
JEFFERSON COUNTY LINE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO
NAVARRE
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.  FOR A 
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
FROM ALABAMA TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THE REMNANTS OF FRED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  85.3W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  85.3W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  85.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.8N  86.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 29.5N  86.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.3N  86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 33.3N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 35.8N  84.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N  85.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 16/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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