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REMNANTS OF FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062021
1500 UTC SAT AUG 14 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
MISSISSIPPI TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF FRED.  WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER IN THE WEEKEND.
 
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  83.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N  83.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  82.6W...DISTURBANCE
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 24.1N  84.2W...DISTURBANCE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 25.7N  85.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 27.4N  86.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.7N  87.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.0N  87.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 31.5N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 35.0N  86.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N  83.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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