ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062021
0300 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM 
WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ON THE SOUTH COAST FROM PUNTA PALENQUE EASTWARD AND
ON THE NORTH COAST FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO EASTWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN HAITI FROM THE
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE SOUTH COAST FROM PUNTA PALENQUE
EASTWARD AND ON THE NORTH COAST FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO EASTWARD
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THE NORTH COAST FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER.
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO
GONAIVES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  60.8W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  60.8W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  60.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N  63.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 18.7N  68.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.9N  71.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.9N  74.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 21.7N  76.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 23.4N  79.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 26.1N  82.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  60.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 10/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
NNNN