ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052021               
1500 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X  22(22)   6(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X  41(41)   3(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X  24(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  6  32(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 59  13(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
YARMOUTH NS    50  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X  18(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  6  24(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
EASTPORT ME    34 36   7(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
EASTPORT ME    50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34 14   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
BOSTON MA      34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 80   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 94   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 35   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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