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TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021
0900 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 7( 7) 44(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X 19(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SYDNEY NS 34 X 20(20) 13(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HALIFAX NS 34 X 37(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
YARMOUTH NS 34 1 61(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONCTON NB 34 X 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
ST JOHN NB 34 X 27(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
EASTPORT ME 34 1 32(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PORTLAND ME 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CONCORD NH 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
WORCESTER MA 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BOSTON MA 34 32 X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
HYANNIS MA 34 64 X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
HYANNIS MA 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 73 X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
NANTUCKET MA 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 49 X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
HARTFORD CT 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NEW LONDON CT 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
MONTAUK POINT 34 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
ISLIP NY 34 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
DOVER DE 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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