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Tropical Storm ELSA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052021               
0300 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)  19(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)  18(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X  11(11)  19(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X  47(47)   3(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   2( 2)  20(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X  11(11)  16(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X  26(26)   5(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WORCESTER MA   34  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  1  32(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  6  46(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  4  20(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
BRIDGEPORT CT  34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NEW HAVEN CT   34  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34  4   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 17  16(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
MONTAUK POINT  50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLIP NY       34 11   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 20   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 10   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
DOVER DE       34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34 26   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 41   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34 13   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 44   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 29-Nov-2021 12:09:10 UTC