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TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021
0300 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 31(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HALIFAX NS 34 X 11(11) 19(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X 47(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MONCTON NB 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
ST JOHN NB 34 X 11(11) 16(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
ST JOHN NB 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X 26(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
EASTPORT ME 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WORCESTER MA 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HYANNIS MA 34 1 32(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
NANTUCKET MA 34 6 46(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 4 20(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HARTFORD CT 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW LONDON CT 34 4 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MONTAUK POINT 34 17 16(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MONTAUK POINT 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLIP NY 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEWARK NJ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
DOVER DE 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 26 X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
WALLOPS CDA 34 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
RICHMOND VA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 31-Dec-2021 12:09:11 UTC