ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elsa Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
800 AM AST Thu Jul 01 2021
 
...ELSA CONTINUING QUICKLY WESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.6N 50.2W
ABOUT 780 MI...1255 KM ESE OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Trinidad and Tobago has issued a 
Tropical Storm Watch for Grenada and its dependencies.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Barbados
* Martinique
* St. Lucia
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Grenada and its dependencies
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti
should monitor the progress of this system.  Additional watches and
warnings will likely be required later today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was 
located near latitude 9.6 North, longitude 50.2 West.  Elsa is 
moving toward the west near 25 mph (41 km/h).  An even faster motion 
toward the west-northwest is expected over the next 24 to 36 hours. 
On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of 
the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands on Friday, move 
into the eastern Caribbean Sea late Friday and Friday night, and 
move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Elsa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone 
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and 
on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the
Windward and southern Leeward Islands within the warning areas
on Friday.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch
areas on Friday.
 
RAINFALL: Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
inches with maximum totals of 8 inches on Friday across the Windward
and southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados.  This rain may
lead to isolated flash flooding and mudslides.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
NNNN