ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
 
HURRICANE ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052021
1500 UTC FRI JUL 02 2021

CORRECTED TO ADD 64-KT WIND RADII AT 48 H
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
HAITI FROM PORT AU PRINCE TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
 
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM
PUNTA PALENQUE TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE SOUTH COAST FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI...AND
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST FROM CABO ENGANO TO
BAHIA DE MANZANILLO.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
  
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* SOUTHERN PORTION OF HAITI FROM PORT AU PRINCE TO THE SOUTHERN
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE
BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE COAST OF HAITI NORTH OF PORT AU PRINCE
* JAMAICA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO THE
BORDER WITH HAITI
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
* SABA AND SINT EUSTATIUS
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO
BAHIA DE MANZANILLO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...CUBA...AND
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ELSA. ADDITIONAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  61.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  61.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  59.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.6N  64.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.3N  69.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.8N  73.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.3N  76.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.7N  78.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.1N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.0N  82.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.6N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  61.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 02/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN