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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052021
2100 UTC WED JUN 30 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINES.
 
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR ST. LUCIA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
MARTINIQUE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* MARTINIQUE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND HAITI
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  WARNINGS AND
ADDITIONAL WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.6N  43.7W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.6N  43.7W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.4N  42.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.2N  46.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.1N  51.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.4N  56.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.8N  61.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.4N  66.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.0N  70.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.0N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.6N  43.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 01/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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