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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032021
1500 UTC FRI JUN 18 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM MORGAN CITY
WESTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY...LOUISIANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY...LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
LINE
FLORIDA.
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  91.1W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  91.1W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  91.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 28.2N  90.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 30.3N  90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.1N  88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 33.4N  86.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 34.5N  83.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  91.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 18/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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