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TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192020
0900 UTC WED OCT 07 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 107.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 107.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 107.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.9N 107.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 10NE  10SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.9N 107.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.0N 107.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.1N 108.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 14.6N 109.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 15.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 16.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 107.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/STEWART
 
 
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