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HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
2100 UTC SUN OCT 04 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 129.5W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 129.5W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 129.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.7N 130.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.4N 131.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N 133.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.7N 134.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.3N 135.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 23.7N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 24.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 129.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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