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HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
0900 UTC SUN OCT 04 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 128.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 128.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 127.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.1N 130.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.7N 131.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.4N 133.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.2N 134.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 24.9N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 26.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 128.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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