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HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
1500 UTC SAT OCT 03 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 126.9W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 270SW 345NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 126.9W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 126.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.1N 127.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 128.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.6N 129.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.2N 131.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  95NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.9N 132.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 133.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.5N 135.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 24.5N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 126.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BERG
 
 
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