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HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
1500 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 124.3W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 210SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 124.3W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 123.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 125.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.3N 127.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 128.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 129.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.6N 130.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.0N 132.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N 135.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 124.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/REINHART
 
 
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