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HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
1500 UTC THU OCT 01 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 119.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.9N 121.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.8N 124.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.8N 126.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.8N 127.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 129.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.4N 130.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.7N 133.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.8N 136.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 119.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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