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HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
0300 UTC THU OCT 01 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 116.5W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 210SE 150SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 116.5W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.7N 118.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.3N 121.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.2N 123.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 125.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.2N 127.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.1N 129.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.7N 131.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.6N 134.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 116.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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