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TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
1500 UTC WED SEP 30 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 113.8W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 210SE 180SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 113.8W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 113.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.3N 116.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.5N 118.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.1N 121.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.9N 123.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.9N 125.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 127.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.8N 130.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.1N 133.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 113.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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