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TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
0300 UTC WED SEP 30 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 110.4W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE 240SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 110.4W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.1N 112.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.6N 115.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.0N 118.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.5N 121.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.5N 123.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.6N 125.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.8N 129.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 21.4N 132.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 110.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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