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TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172020
0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 122.7W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 122.7W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 122.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.3N 124.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.6N 126.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.7N 128.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.7N 130.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 21.6N 132.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.5N 135.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.4N 140.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.8N 145.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 122.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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