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TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162020
ISSUED BY NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2100 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 122.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 122.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 121.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.6N 123.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N 124.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.2N 126.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 23.5N 127.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.3N 128.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 122.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
 
 
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