ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Remnants Of Julio Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152020
300 AM MDT Mon Sep 07 2020
Moderate easterly shear has continued to take a toll on the compact
tropical cyclone. In fact, recent satellite imagery and ASCAT data
indicate that the small circulation has opened up into a trough of
low pressure. Therefore, Julio has dissipated and this will be the
final NHC advisory on this system. Julio’s demise occurred much
quicker than forecast, owing to the difficulty in predicting the
intensity (both up and down) of small tropical cyclones. The
remnants are moving westward around the northern portion of a broad
area of low pressure to the southwest of Socorro Island, and the
remnants should be absorbed within that system later today. The
global models indicate that moderate to strong easterly shear will
persist over the larger low pressure area in which Julio is being
absorbed, and this will likely prevent significant development of
that system over the next few days.
This is last NHC advisory on this system. For additional information
on the remnants of Julio please see High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO
header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 07/0900Z 19.5N 112.6W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN