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TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142020
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  70SE  90SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE  90SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 115.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.9N 114.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  50SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.2N 114.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.2N 115.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 22.5N 116.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.3N 117.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 115.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 
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