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TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142020
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 116.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  70SE  90SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 120SE  90SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 116.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 116.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.2N 115.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.4N 114.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.3N 114.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.7N 114.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 22.4N 115.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 22.4N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 116.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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