ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP122020
1200 PM MDT Wed Aug 19 2020
 
...RAIN BANDS FROM GENEVIEVE SPREADING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 109.8W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos
Santos
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of the Baja California peninsula from north of
Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The east coast of the Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles
to La Paz
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 21.2 North, longitude 109.8 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A turn
toward the northwest is expected this afternoon or tonight, with
this motion continuing through Friday night.  On the forecast track,
the center of Genevieve is expected to move near but just southwest
of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula tonight and
Thursday, and move away from the peninsula on Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast over the next
couple of days, but Genevieve is expected to remain a strong
hurricane while it passes near or just west of the southern Baja
California peninsula.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area tonight and Thursday.  Tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area in the southern Baja California
peninsula by this afternoon, especially over higher terrain.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by
tonight or Thursday morning, especially over higher terrain.
 
RAINFALL:  Genevieve is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to
6 inches with isolated totals of 10 inches across portions of far
southern Baja California Sur. This rainfall may lead to
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of
the southern and west-central coasts of Mexico and are spreading
northward along the coast of the Baja California peninsula.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown/Latto
 
NNNN