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Hurricane Genevieve Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP122020
1200 AM MDT Tue Aug 18 2020
 
...CATEGORY 2 GENEVIEVE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN INTO A MAJOR
HURRICANE LATER TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 106.5W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos
Santos
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was
located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 106.5 West. Genevieve is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through this morning.  A turn
to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast to
occur by this afternoon and continue through at least early
Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is
expected to move parallel to but well offshore the coast of
southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. The center of the
hurricane is forecast to move to the southwest of the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula on Wednesday night and
Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 24 to 36
hours, and Genevieve is expected to become a major hurricane later
today.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
in the southern Baja California peninsula by Wednesday afternoon,
especially over higher terrain.
 
SURF:  Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of
the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward along the
southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico to the Baja California
peninsula through Wednesday.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
NNNN